Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Auestadion, Kassel
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Hessen Kassel (1,946) and Freiburg II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hessen Kassel have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hessen Kassel win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Freiburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II 5-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hessen Kassel 2-3 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Freiburg II 1-3 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Freiburg II 1-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Hessen Kassel 1-3 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 22, 2021 | Hessen Kassel 0-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hessen Kassel sit 12th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II?
- The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel.
- Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II played?
- Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026SV SandhausenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Dec 5, 2026VfR AalenvsTSV Steinbach
- Dec 5, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Dec 5, 2026Eintracht TriervsVfR Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Dec 5, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsSGV Freiberg
- Dec 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Dec 5, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsEintracht Frankfurt II