Frome Town vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Hanwell Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Frome Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hanwell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | Frome Town 1-0 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Hanwell Town 0-2 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Hanwell Town 0-1 Frome Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Hanwell Town on Mar 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Hanwell Town played?
- Frome Town vs Hanwell Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Havant & WvillevsPoole Town
- Sep 12, 2026UxbridgevsChichester City
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town
- Sep 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsBasingstoke Town