Havant & Wville vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havant & Wville vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Havant & Wville (1,748) and Poole Town (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Havant & Wville win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Poole Town 2-0 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Havant & Wville 0-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Havant & Wville 2-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poole Town 0-1 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Havant & Wville on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havant & Wville sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havant & Wville vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Havant & Wville vs Poole Town played?
- Havant & Wville vs Poole Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Westleigh Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Frome TownvsHanwell Town
- Sep 12, 2026UxbridgevsChichester City
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town
- Sep 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsBasingstoke Town