Evesham United vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Berkhamsted win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Evesham United 0-2 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Berkhamsted 3-1 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Berkhamsted on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Berkhamsted played?
- Evesham United vs Berkhamsted is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Havant & WvillevsPoole Town
- Sep 12, 2026Frome TownvsHanwell Town
- Sep 12, 2026UxbridgevsChichester City
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town
- Sep 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsBasingstoke Town