Match

Evesham United vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedBerkhamsted

The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?

Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,709).

Evesham United win33 %
Draw27 %
Berkhamsted win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Berkhamsted win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Evesham United 0-2 BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 14, 2025Berkhamsted 3-1 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Berkhamsted on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Evesham United42028106
20Berkhamsted4103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Berkhamsted?
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Berkhamsted played?
Evesham United vs Berkhamsted is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Evesham United and Berkhamsted

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