Uxbridge vs Chichester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Chichester City?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,819) and Chichester City (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Chichester City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Chichester City sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Chichester City?
- The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Chichester City.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Chichester City played?
- Uxbridge vs Chichester City is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Havant & WvillevsPoole Town
- Sep 12, 2026Frome TownvsHanwell Town
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town
- Sep 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsBasingstoke Town