Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gloucester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gloucester City 2-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Gloucester City 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Havant & WvillevsPoole Town
- Sep 12, 2026Frome TownvsHanwell Town
- Sep 12, 2026UxbridgevsChichester City
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town