Match

Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire

Gloucester CityBasingstoke Town

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town?

Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,716).

Gloucester City win63 %
Draw20 %
Basingstoke Town win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gloucester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Basingstoke Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Basingstoke Town 0-2 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 27, 2025Gloucester City 2-1 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 8, 2025Basingstoke Town 1-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 2, 2024Gloucester City 1-1 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Basingstoke Town4202666
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town played?
Gloucester City vs Basingstoke Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gloucester City and Basingstoke Town

Ready to know everything about football?