Match

FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)PSD Bank Arena, Frankfurt am Main

FSV FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes FSV Frankfurt the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate FSV Frankfurt (1,970) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

FSV Frankfurt win43 %
Draw24 %
FSV Mainz 05 II win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Frankfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Astoria Walldorf(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026VfR Mannheim(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 30, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FSV Frankfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II 2-1 FSV FrankfurtRegionalliga - SudWest
May 9, 2026FSV Frankfurt 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 9, 2025FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 FSV FrankfurtRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 2, 2025FSV Mainz 05 II 3-0 FSV FrankfurtRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 28, 2024FSV Frankfurt 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 6, 2024FSV Frankfurt 2-3 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs FSV Frankfurt on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Frankfurt score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Frankfurt1.91.7410/1512/15
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Frankfurt sit 6th in Regionalliga - SudWest (4 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FSV Frankfurt3111644
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
The Footlab model makes FSV Frankfurt the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at PSD Bank Arena, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FSV Frankfurt and FSV Mainz 05 II

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