FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)PSD Bank Arena, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes FSV Frankfurt the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate FSV Frankfurt (1,970) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FSV Frankfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 2-1 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 9, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 9, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 2, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 3-0 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FSV Frankfurt 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 6, 2024 | FSV Frankfurt 2-3 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs FSV Frankfurt on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Frankfurt score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Frankfurt | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Frankfurt sit 6th in Regionalliga - SudWest (4 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Frankfurt the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- FSV Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at PSD Bank Arena, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026SV SandhausenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Dec 5, 2026VfR AalenvsTSV Steinbach
- Dec 5, 2026Eintracht TriervsVfR Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Dec 5, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsSGV Freiberg
- Dec 5, 2026Hessen KasselvsFreiburg II
- Dec 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Dec 5, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsEintracht Frankfurt II