Eintracht Trier vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moselstadion, Trier
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Trier vs VfR Mannheim?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Eintracht Trier (1,887) and VfR Mannheim (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Trier have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 0-6 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Eintracht Trier win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 VfR Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Mannheim 1-2 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: VfR Mannheim vs Eintracht Trier on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Trier | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Trier sit 10th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Trier vs VfR Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Eintracht Trier.
- Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs VfR Mannheim played?
- Eintracht Trier vs VfR Mannheim is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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