Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport played?

Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

Fuenlabrada

Alcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,790) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Fuenlabrada win45 %

Draw27 %

Alcobendas Sport win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Navalcarnero(away)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Socuéllamos(away)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	RSD Alcalá(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Quintanar del Rey(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada	0.8	1.5	3	7/15	7/15
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport?: The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport played?: Fuenlabrada vs Alcobendas Sport is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.