Match

Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda

Alcobendas SportFuenlabrada

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,715) and Fuenlabrada (1,787).

Alcobendas Sport win33 %
Draw27 %
Fuenlabrada win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada played?
Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alcobendas Sport and Fuenlabrada

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