Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,715) and Fuenlabrada (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada?
- The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcobendas Sport.
- Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada played?
- Alcobendas Sport vs Fuenlabrada is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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