Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IIMóstoles

The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,689) and Móstoles (1,781).

30%27%43%
Rayo Vallecano II winDrawMóstoles win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Móstoles

Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Móstoles have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Torrejón(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rayo Vallecano II wins, 2 draws, 4 Móstoles wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Móstoles 0-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 16, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 0-4 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 29, 2023Móstoles 2-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 29, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 25, 2022Móstoles 1-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 9, 2021Móstoles 4-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Rayo Vallecano II on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.72.236/1510/15
Móstoles1.01.338/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rayo Vallecano II sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (1 point from 5 matches) and Móstoles sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Móstoles53206211
18Rayo Vallecano II50146131

A question about Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles?
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Móstoles is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Móstoles

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