Match

Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezLeganés II

The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II?

Leganés II starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,563).

19%20%61%
Real Aranjuez winDrawLeganés II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Leganés II

Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Leganés II have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Torrejón(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 24, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026SS Reyes II(away)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Trival Valderas(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Galapagar(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Móstoles(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Real Aranjuez wins, 1 draw, 2 Leganés II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Leganés II 2-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 31, 2021Real Aranjuez 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2020Leganés II 1-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 1.0 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez1.02.919/159/15
Leganés II1.91.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Aranjuez sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (7 points from 9 matches) and Leganés II sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Leganés II8323151211
16Real Aranjuez914413207

A question about Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II?
The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II played?
Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Aranjuez and Leganés II

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