Galapagar vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Torrejón the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torrejón wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,740) and Torrejón (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Torrejón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Torrejón
Not enough data to predict the Torrejón lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Torrejón have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Galapagar wins, 1 draw, 3 Torrejón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Torrejón 4-0 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Galapagar 2-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Galapagar 0-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Torrejón 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Torrejón 0-2 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Galapagar 2-5 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Galapagar on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (8 points from 5 matches) and Torrejón sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Galapagar vs Torrejón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torrejón the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs Torrejón played?
- Galapagar vs Torrejón is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Las RozasvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 6, 2026Leganés IIvsUnión Adarve
- Dec 6, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 6, 2026Trival ValderasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 6, 2026Real AranjuezvsMóstoles
- Dec 6, 2026Cala PozuelovsVillanueva Pardillo
- Dec 6, 2026SS Reyes IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Dec 6, 2026RC AlcobendasvsFuenlabrada