Match

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu

The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,675).

68%19%13%
Kagoshima United winDrawKitakyushu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kagoshima United

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Arita
  2. 18K. Kawamura
  3. 22Aura Takahashi
  1. 7W. Tanaka
  2. 14K. Yoshio
  3. 8K. Fujimura
  1. 36J. Ikeda
  2. 35G. Egawa
  3. 44Yoshitaka Aoki
  4. 2R. Saga
  1. 31D. Sakata

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 37K. Yoshida
  3. 52M. Nishimura
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 8M. Yoshinaga
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kitakyushu have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Ehime FC(home)4-2J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 7, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-2Emperor Cup
Oct 4, 2026Fukushima United(home)3-2J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-1J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Osaka(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-3J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kagoshima United wins, 4 draws, 0 Kitakyushu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
May 24, 2026Kitakyushu 1-5 Kagoshima UnitedJ2/J3 League
Apr 5, 2026Kagoshima United 1-1 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Oct 11, 2025Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Mar 23, 2025Kagoshima United 1-0 KitakyushuJ3 League
Aug 26, 2023Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United on Sep 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kagoshima United1.91.139/159/15
Kitakyushu1.31.8310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kagoshima United sit 1st in J3 League (26 points from 11 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 14th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Kagoshima United11821231326
14Kitakyushu11344151913

A question about Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu played?
Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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