Fyllingsdalen vs Vard: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Varden Amfi, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Fyllingsdalen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fyllingsdalen vs Vard?
Vard starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fyllingsdalen have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Vard have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Askøy(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Åsane II(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fyllingsdalen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Vard 6-2 Fyllingsdalen | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
Last archived meeting: Vard vs Fyllingsdalen on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fyllingsdalen score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vard score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fyllingsdalen | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Vard | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fyllingsdalen sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (6 points from 16 matches) and Vard sit 6th (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vard | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 25 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fyllingsdalen vs Vard?
- The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Fyllingsdalen.
- Where and when is Fyllingsdalen vs Vard played?
- Fyllingsdalen vs Vard is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Varden Amfi, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.