Match

Varegg vs Førde: prediction and stats

3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stemmemyren kunstgressbane, Bergen

VareggFørde

The Footlab AI model makes Varegg the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Førde. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Varegg vs Førde?

On Elo ratings, Varegg has 1,583 points and Førde 1,617.

51%20%29%
Varegg winDrawFørde win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Varegg vs Førde

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Varegg

Not enough data to predict the Varegg lineup.

Førde

Not enough data to predict the Førde lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varegg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Førde have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Varegg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Stord(home)2-33. Division - Girone 3
Oct 3, 2026Brann II(away)2-13. Division - Girone 3
Sep 26, 2026Os(home)4-23. Division - Girone 3
Sep 19, 2026Gneist(away)2-23. Division - Girone 3
Sep 12, 2026Sogndal II(home)2-03. Division - Girone 3
Førde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Austevoll(away)2-33. Division - Girone 3
Oct 3, 2026Fyllingsdalen(home)6-23. Division - Girone 3
Sep 26, 2026Åsane II(away)2-23. Division - Girone 3
Sep 19, 2026Fana(home)0-33. Division - Girone 3
Sep 16, 2026Aalesund(home)3-4NM Cupen

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Varegg wins, 0 draws, 1 Førde win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Førde 3-1 Varegg3. Division - Girone 3

Last archived meeting: Førde vs Varegg on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Varegg score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Førde score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Varegg1.81.8211/1511/15
Førde2.32.329/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Varegg sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (23 points from 23 matches) and Førde sit 8th (31 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Førde239410435131
11Varegg236512374623

A question about Varegg vs Førde?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Varegg vs Førde?
The Footlab AI model makes Varegg the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Førde.
Where and when is Varegg vs Førde played?
Varegg vs Førde is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stemmemyren kunstgressbane, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Varegg and Førde

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