FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Telekom Arena, Skopje
The Footlab AI model makes Slovenia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FYR Macedonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Slovenia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Slovenia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,581 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FYR Macedonia
4-2-3-1- 11E. Rastoder
- 7E. Elmas
- 10E. Bardhi
- 16M. Gashtarov
- 15A. Elezi
- 20D. Mitrovski
- 6V. Musliu
- 4A. Stojchevski
- 5G. Zajkov
- 14M. Mladenovski
- 23S. Dimitrievski
Slovenia
5-4-1- 18Z. Vipotnik
- 15D. Šturm
- 20A. Matko
- 22A. Čerin
- 4M. Zabukovnik
- 6J. Bijol
- 13E. Janža
- 2Ž. Karničnik
- 23D. Brekalo
- 17D. Zec
- 1J. Oblak
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 07:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FYR Macedonia have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Slovenia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Scotland(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovenia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Switzerland(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Scotland(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scotland(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FYR Macedonia win, 2 draws, 1 Slovenia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovenia 2-0 FYR Macedonia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 1, 2021 | FYR Macedonia 1-1 Slovenia | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2019 | FYR Macedonia 2-1 Slovenia | Euro Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Slovenia 1-1 FYR Macedonia | Euro Championship |
Last archived meeting: Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FYR Macedonia score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slovenia score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FYR Macedonia | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Slovenia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FYR Macedonia sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (0 points from 4 matches) and Slovenia sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
A question about FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Slovenia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FYR Macedonia.
- Where and when is FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia played?
- FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia is played on November 16, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Telekom Arena, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.