Switzerland vs Scotland: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)kybunpark, St. Gallen
The Footlab AI model makes Switzerland the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Scotland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Switzerland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Switzerland vs Scotland?
Switzerland starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,607).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Switzerland vs Scotland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Switzerland
4-2-3-1- 10Z. Amdouni
- 8R. Freuler
- 11D. Ndoye
- 9J. Manzambi
- 14A. Jashari
- 22F. Rieder
- 5M. Akanji
- 13R. Rodríguez
- 4N. Elvedi
- 16Z. Athekame
- 1G. Kobel
Scotland
3-5-1-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 3A. Robertson
- 19L. Ferguson
- 7J. McGinn
- 8B. Gilmour
- 17B. Doak
- 11R. Christie
- 4L. Binks
- 5S. Welsh
- 13J. Hendry
- 1A. Gunn
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Switzerland have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Scotland have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slovenia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scotland(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Slovenia(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Switzerland(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slovenia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Switzerland win, 1 draw, 0 Scotland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scotland 0-3 Switzerland | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Scotland 1-1 Switzerland | Euro Championship |
Last archived meeting: Scotland vs Switzerland on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Switzerland score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Scotland score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Scotland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Switzerland sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (12 points from 4 matches) and Scotland sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Switzerland vs Scotland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Switzerland vs Scotland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Switzerland the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Scotland.
- Where and when is Switzerland vs Scotland played?
- Switzerland vs Scotland is played on November 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at kybunpark, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.