Israel vs Austria: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bozsik Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Austria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Israel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Austria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
Austria starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,488).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Israel vs Austria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Israel
5-4-1- 19D. Turgeman
- 15E. Peretz
- 8Dor Peretz
- 11O. Gloukh
- 21E. Azoulay
- 13N. Stoioanov
- 5I. Nachmias
- 3R. Revivo
- 20L. Abada
- 4R. Shlomo
- 23A. Tzur
Austria
4-2-3-1- 11M. Gregoritsch
- 4X. Schlager
- 6N. Seiwald
- 10R. Schmid
- 21P. Wimmer
- 22A. Prass
- 5S. Posch
- 3K. Danso
- 2D. Affengruber
- 15P. Lienhart
- 1A. Schlager
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Israel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Austria have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Kosovo(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kosovo(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kosovo(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-3 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Israel wins, 0 draws, 3 Austria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Austria 3-1 Israel | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Austria 4-2 Israel | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Israel 5-2 Austria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Austria 3-1 Israel | Euro Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Israel 4-2 Austria | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Israel score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Austria score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Austria | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Israel sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (2 points from 4 matches) and Austria sit 1st (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Israel vs Austria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Israel vs Austria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Austria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Israel.
- Where and when is Israel vs Austria played?
- Israel vs Austria is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bozsik Aréna, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.