Gagra vs Samtredia: result 1-0 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on April 12, 2019 at 11:00 AM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Gagra vs Samtredia?
Gagra won 1-0 on April 12, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 84′Beka NikolashviliGagra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Samtredia have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2019 | Telavi(away) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2019 | Shevardeni 1906(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Guria(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 15, 2019 | Zugdidi(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Shukura(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2019 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2019 | Tskhinvali(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Telavi(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Shevardeni 1906(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 8, 2019 | Guria(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Samtredia score 0.9 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Samtredia | 0.9 | 2.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Samtredia | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy