Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,698) and Gainare Tottori (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto | Emperor Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Gainare Tottori 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026FC GifuvsSagamihara
- Oct 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 21, 2026Tochigi SCvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 21, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKanazawa
- Oct 21, 2026Ehime FCvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Oct 21, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsKochi United
- Oct 21, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsKitakyushu
- Oct 21, 2026Parceiro NaganovsFC Ryukyu