Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoGainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,698) and Gainare Tottori (1,692).

Roasso Kumamoto win40 %
Draw29 %
Gainare Tottori win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Gainare Tottori
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Fukushima United(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Ehime FC(away)0-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Osaka(home)1-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori 2-2 Roasso KumamotoEmperor Cup
Apr 25, 2026Gainare Tottori 0-2 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Mar 15, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Gainare TottoriJ2/J3 League
Aug 28, 2021Gainare Tottori 1-2 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Jun 20, 2021Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
Dec 20, 2020Gainare Tottori 2-1 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
Gainare Tottori1.51.5110/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gainare Tottori3111364
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Gainare Tottori

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