Curzon Ashton vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curzon Ashton vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stalybridge Celtic(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Curzon Ashton wins, 0 draws, 1 Bury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury 3-2 Curzon Ashton | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bury vs Curzon Ashton on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (22 points from 13 matches) and Bury sit 12th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Curzon Ashton vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Bury played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Bury is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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