Gainsborough Trinity vs Redcar Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Redcar Athletic?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Redcar Athletic have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Redcar Athletic score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Redcar Athletic | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 6 matches) and Redcar Athletic sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Redcar Athletic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gainsborough Trinity | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Redcar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Redcar Athletic played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Redcar Athletic is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.