Curzon Ashton vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Workington?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,850) and Workington (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curzon Ashton vs Workington
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Workington have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stalybridge Celtic(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (22 points from 12 matches) and Workington sit 9th (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
A question about Curzon Ashton vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Workington?
- The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Workington.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Workington played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Workington is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.