Whitby Town vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Whitby Town vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Bury have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 14 matches) and Bury sit 12th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
A question about Whitby Town vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Bury played?
- Whitby Town vs Bury is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsRedcar Athletic
- Apr 3, 2027Hyde UnitedvsGuiseley AFC
- Apr 3, 2027Curzon AshtonvsWorkington
- Apr 3, 2027Ilkeston TownvsBamber Bridge
- Apr 3, 2027Leek TownvsCleethorpes Town
- Apr 3, 2027Lancaster CityvsAlfreton Town
- Apr 3, 2027United of ManchestervsAshton United
- Apr 3, 2027RylandsvsAvro