Match

Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

GalapagarRayo Vallecano II

The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galapagar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,740) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,689).

45%26%29%
Galapagar winDrawRayo Vallecano II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 12, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)5-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Galapagar wins, 2 draws, 2 Rayo Vallecano II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 25, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 0-0 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 18, 2025Galapagar 1-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 16, 2025Galapagar 2-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 6, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 25, 2024Galapagar 2-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Galapagar1.91.6112/159/15
Rayo Vallecano II0.72.236/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Galapagar6321131011
16Rayo Vallecano II61147134

A question about Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II?
The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Galapagar and Rayo Vallecano II

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