Móstoles vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Móstoles vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,781) and Torrejón (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Móstoles vs Torrejón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Torrejón
Not enough data to predict the Torrejón lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Torrejón have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Móstoles wins, 3 draws, 1 Torrejón win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón 0-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Móstoles 2-3 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Torrejón 0-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Torrejón 0-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Móstoles 1-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Torrejón 0-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Móstoles score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Móstoles | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Móstoles sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Torrejón sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Móstoles | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Torrejón | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Móstoles vs Torrejón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Torrejón.
- Where and when is Móstoles vs Torrejón played?
- Móstoles vs Torrejón is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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