Match

Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival ValderasReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,555).

60%21%19%
Trival Valderas winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Trival Valderas

Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Parla Escuela(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Trival Valderas wins, 1 draw, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Real Aranjuez 1-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Real Aranjuez 1-5 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 11, 2022Trival Valderas 0-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 28, 2021Trival Valderas 2-1 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 3, 2021Real Aranjuez 0-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas on Sep 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas1.40.849/156/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Trival Valderas63218511
15Real Aranjuez612310145

A question about Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez played?
Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Trival Valderas and Real Aranjuez

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