Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez played?

Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,540).

Trival Valderas win56 %

Draw25 %

Real Aranjuez win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Trival Valderas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2023	Real Aranjuez 1-5 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 11, 2022	Trival Valderas 0-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 28, 2021	Trival Valderas 2-1 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 3, 2021	Real Aranjuez 0-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas on Apr 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez played?: Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.