Match

Fuenlabrada vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaUnión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,786) and Unión Adarve (1,796).

Fuenlabrada win38 %
Draw27 %
Unión Adarve win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Unión Adarve?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Unión Adarve played?
Fuenlabrada vs Unión Adarve is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fuenlabrada and Unión Adarve

Ready to know everything about football?