Where and when is Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo played?

Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Villanueva Pardillo

The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,723) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).

Galapagar win35 %

Draw27 %

Villanueva Pardillo win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Villanueva Pardillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Carabanchel(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Móstoles(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	SS Reyes II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Racing Madrid(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Galapagar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 2, 2025	Galapagar 2-1 Villanueva Pardillo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 28, 2024	Villanueva Pardillo 0-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 12, 2023	Galapagar 1-2 Villanueva Pardillo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Villanueva Pardillo	1.3	1.0	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46
12	Villanueva Pardillo	34	13	5	16	39	45	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo?: The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo played?: Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.