Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galapagar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,752) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Villanueva Pardillo
4-3-3- PPablo Sánchez Flores Casanova
- CChuky
- KKoh Ji-Soung
- RRulo Alonso
- JJorge Sánchez
- AAndrés Alcaide Jimenez
- AAnder DÃaz
- JJosele
- CCarlos Albares
- JJorge MartÃnez
- JJosé Damián Climent Requena
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Galapagar wins, 1 draw, 1 Villanueva Pardillo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Galapagar 2-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Villanueva Pardillo 0-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Galapagar 1-2 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Galapagar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
- Galapagar vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Leganés IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 20, 2026MóstolesvsLas Rozas
- Dec 20, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsReal Aranjuez
- Dec 20, 2026Trival ValderasvsTorrejón
- Dec 20, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 20, 2026Cala PozuelovsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 20, 2026SS Reyes IIvsFuenlabrada
- Dec 20, 2026RC AlcobendasvsUnión Adarve