Trival Valderas vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,832) and Torrejón (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Torrejón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Torrejón
Not enough data to predict the Torrejón lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Torrejón have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Parla Escuela(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trival Valderas win, 1 draw, 4 Torrejón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Trival Valderas 2-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Torrejón 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Torrejón 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Trival Valderas 0-2 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Torrejón 2-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Torrejón on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 5 matches) and Torrejón sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Trival Valderas vs Torrejón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Torrejón.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Torrejón played?
- Trival Valderas vs Torrejón is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Leganés IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 20, 2026MóstolesvsLas Rozas
- Dec 20, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsReal Aranjuez
- Dec 20, 2026GalapagarvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Dec 20, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 20, 2026Cala PozuelovsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 20, 2026SS Reyes IIvsFuenlabrada
- Dec 20, 2026RC AlcobendasvsUnión Adarve