Trival Valderas vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,829) and Torrejón (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trival Valderas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Torrejón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Trival Valderas 2-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Torrejón 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Torrejón 2-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Trival Valderas 0-2 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Torrejón 2-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Torrejón on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Torrejón sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Torrejón.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Torrejón played?
- Trival Valderas vs Torrejón is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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