Leganés II vs Parla Escuela: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Parla Escuela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Parla Escuela?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Parla Escuela (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Parla Escuela have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | Valencia(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sonseca(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Parla Escuela | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Parla Escuela?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Parla Escuela.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Parla Escuela played?
- Leganés II vs Parla Escuela is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Dec 20, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsReal Aranjuez
- Dec 20, 2026Trival ValderasvsTorrejón
- Dec 20, 2026GalapagarvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Dec 20, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 20, 2026Cala PozuelovsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 20, 2026SS Reyes IIvsFuenlabrada
- Dec 20, 2026RC AlcobendasvsUnión Adarve