Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IIReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Vallecano II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez?

Rayo Vallecano II starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,551).

52%25%23%
Rayo Vallecano II winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SS Reyes II(away)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Leganés II(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II wins, 0 draws, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 6-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 4, 2022Real Aranjuez 0-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez on Apr 2, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.92.237/1510/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 6 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Real Aranjuez713312166
16Rayo Vallecano II61147134

A question about Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Real Aranjuez is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Real Aranjuez

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