Galatasaray vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aston Villa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,473 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,383 vs 2,167).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galatasaray vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 45V. Osimhen
- 53B. Yılmaz
- 83A. Batrakov
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 6D. Sánchez
- 4I. Jakobs
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 7R. Sallai
- 1U. Çakır
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 7J. McGinn
- 35João Gomes
- 47Alysson Edward
- 8B. Kamara
- 10E. Buendía
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 14Pau Torres
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aston Villa have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lille(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Viking(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 23rd in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 3 matches) and Aston Villa sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Galatasaray.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Aston Villa played?
- Galatasaray vs Aston Villa is played on November 24, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.