Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Galway United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Shamrock Rovers starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galway United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Shamrock Rovers have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-3 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Galway United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Shamrock Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Galway United | Premier Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Galway United 1-3 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Galway United 0-0 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 30, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 0-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galway United score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shamrock Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galway United sit 7th in Premier Division (33 points from 27 matches) and Shamrock Rovers sit 1st (54 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 43 |
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Galway United.
- Where and when is Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers played?
- Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Eamonn Deacy Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.