Match

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk: prediction and stats

Premier DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Sligo

Sligo RoversDundalk

The Footlab AI model makes Dundalk the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundalk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Sligo Rovers (1,509) and Dundalk (1,579).

34%26%40%
Sligo Rovers winDrawDundalk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sligo Rovers

4-2-3-1
  1. 11C. Kavanagh
  1. 7J. Shorrock
  2. 6L. Young
  3. 10A. Meekison
  4. 14J. McManus
  5. 50S. Maughan
  1. 16C. McHugh
  2. 52G. McElroy
  3. 3Sean Stewart
  4. 51Aidan Gabbidon
  1. 1Liam John Hughes

Dundalk

4-2-3-1
  1. 9C. Dillon
  1. 7D. Horgan
  2. 11R. Teahan
  3. 15T. Clarke
  4. 6A. Dervin
  5. 18K. Buckley
  1. 44T. Grivosti
  2. 3B. Burns
  3. 4M. Animasahun
  4. 5H. Warren
  1. 1E. Minogue

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sligo Rovers have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Dundalk have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sligo Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026St Patrick's Athl.(home)0-1Premier Division
Sep 14, 2026Galway United(home)1-3Premier Division
Sep 11, 2026Drogheda United(away)0-2Premier Division
Sep 4, 2026Waterford(away)0-3FAI Cup
Aug 28, 2026Bohemians(away)0-3Premier Division
Dundalk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Bohemians(home)1-2Premier Division
Sep 18, 2026Shelbourne(home)2-3Premier Division
Sep 14, 2026St Patrick's Athl.(home)0-4Premier Division
Sep 11, 2026Waterford(away)1-1Premier Division
Sep 6, 2026Derry City(away)2-4FAI Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sligo Rovers wins, 1 draw, 2 Dundalk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Dundalk 1-1 Sligo RoversPremier Division
Apr 25, 2026Sligo Rovers 2-0 DundalkPremier Division
Mar 16, 2026Dundalk 1-0 Sligo RoversPremier Division
Jul 18, 2025Dundalk 0-2 Sligo RoversFAI Cup
Sep 21, 2024Sligo Rovers 2-1 DundalkPremier Division
Jun 13, 2024Dundalk 1-0 Sligo RoversPremier Division

Last archived meeting: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sligo Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundalk score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sligo Rovers1.21.737/1510/15
Dundalk1.92.1113/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sligo Rovers sit 10th in Premier Division (23 points from 32 matches) and Dundalk sit 5th (41 points from 33 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Dundalk33101112505541
10Sligo Rovers325819245423

A question about Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?
The Footlab AI model makes Dundalk the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sligo Rovers.
Where and when is Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk played?
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premier Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sligo Rovers and Dundalk

Ready to know everything about football?