St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Richmond Park, Dublin
The Footlab AI model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Shelbourne. The most likely score is 1-1. If St Patrick's Athl. wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
On Elo ratings, St Patrick's Athl. has 1,741 points and Shelbourne 1,656.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St Patrick's Athl.
3-1-4-2- 9A. Keena
- 27R. Edmondson
- 6J. Lennon
- 7Z. Elbouzedi
- 48R. Sheridan
- 19B. Baggley
- 3A. Breslin
- 2S. Hoare
- 4J. Redmond
- 24L. Turner
- 94J. Anang
Shelbourne
3-4-3- 27E. Caffrey
- 22S. Moore
- 11M. Odubeko
- 18James Barry Norris
- 25M. Mbeng
- 23K. McInroy
- 21Jack Henry-Francis
- 16O. Casey
- 4K. Ledwidge
- 17D. Kelly
- 19E. Beach
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Patrick's Athl. have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Shelbourne have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 4-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(home) | 5-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 St Patrick's Athl. wins, 1 draw, 2 Shelbourne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shelbourne 1-2 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| May 15, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl. 0-1 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Shelbourne 2-3 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Shelbourne 0-0 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shelbourne | FAI Cup |
| Jun 16, 2025 | St Patrick's Athl. 0-1 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shelbourne score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl. | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Shelbourne | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd in Premier Division (59 points from 32 matches) and Shelbourne sit 4th (43 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
A question about St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
- The Footlab AI model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Shelbourne.
- Where and when is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne played?
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne is played on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Richmond Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.