Gambia vs Madagascar: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Lat Dior, Thiès
Full time
What was the result of Gambia vs Madagascar?
Gambia won 1-0 on October 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 62′M. BarrowGambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gambia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Madagascar have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | Madagascar(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Tunisia(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Gabon(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Seychelles(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | Gambia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gambia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Madagascar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | Madagascar 1-1 Gambia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Gambia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gambia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Madagascar | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gambia sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (8 points from 6 matches) and Madagascar sit 4th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gambia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy