Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 43%, against 35% for a draw and 22% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Ethiopia Bunna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,255 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,443) and Ethiopia Bunna (1,527).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Ethiopia Bunna
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Ethiopia Bunna have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Ethiopia Bunna | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 43%, against 35% for a draw and 22% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Bunna is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 9, 2026Adama KenemavsFasil Ketema
- Dec 9, 2026Awassa KenemavsKedus Giorgis
- Dec 9, 2026MekelakeyavsHalaba Ketema
- Dec 9, 2026Sidama BunnavsMebrat Hayl
- Dec 9, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsHadiya Hosaena
- Dec 9, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsWelayta Dicha
- Dec 9, 2026Sheger KetemavsBahardar
- Dec 9, 2026Negelle ArsivsWelwalo Adigrat Uni