Match

Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaHalaba Ketema

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 36%, against 36% for a draw and 28% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,565) and Halaba Ketema (1,484).

36%36%28%
Mekelakeya winDrawHalaba Ketema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Halaba Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Halaba Ketema have 1, 2 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Halaba Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Fasil Ketema(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Bahardar(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home)1-1Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Halaba Ketema score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.80.784/154/15
Halaba Ketema1.00.712/30/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Halaba Ketema sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Halaba Ketema2110214
7Mekelakeya2101113

A question about Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 36%, against 36% for a draw and 28% for Halaba Ketema.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema played?
Mekelakeya vs Halaba Ketema is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Halaba Ketema

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