Match

Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 10Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem

Sidama BunnaMebrat Hayl

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Sidama Bunna, 38% for a draw, 26% for Mebrat Hayl. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,587) and Mebrat Hayl (1,524).

36%38%26%
Sidama Bunna winDrawMebrat Hayl win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sidama Bunna

4-3-3
  1. 2A. Musse
  2. 21T. Bejrond
  3. 20B. Nago
  1. 6Y. Yohannis
  2. 10F. Tewoldebrhan
  3. 8R. Nassir
  1. 14B. Bekele
  2. 31M. Muzie
  3. 15D. Demu
  4. 16Y. Bayeh
  1. 47Y. Abure

Mebrat Hayl

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Tiruneh
  2. 9H. Hussien
  3. 10G. Eyob
  1. 14A. Tesfaye
  2. 17H. Shewalem
  3. 5H. Gebrehiwot
  1. 13B. B. Babulo
  2. 4B. Woldeyohannes
  3. 21Y. Yemane
  4. 31B. Asresahegn
  1. 45A. Tesfaye

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mebrat Hayl have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sidama Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(away)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 18, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(home)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Sep 13, 2026Aiglons(home)3-0CAF Champions League
Mebrat Hayl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Kedus Giorgis(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Adama Kenema(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sidama Bunna wins, 1 draw, 3 Mebrat Hayl wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Sidama Bunna 0-1 Mebrat HaylPremier League
Feb 4, 2026Mebrat Hayl 0-0 Sidama BunnaPremier League
May 12, 2025Mebrat Hayl 1-2 Sidama BunnaPremier League
Jan 26, 2025Sidama Bunna 0-2 Mebrat HaylPremier League
Feb 28, 2023Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Sidama BunnaPremier League
Jul 14, 2018Mebrat Hayl 2-1 Sidama BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mebrat Hayl score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sidama Bunna0.90.863/154/15
Mebrat Hayl0.80.856/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sidama Bunna sit 16th in Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and Mebrat Hayl sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mebrat Hayl5212227
16Sidama Bunna2011011

A question about Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Sidama Bunna, 38% for a draw, 26% for Mebrat Hayl.
Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl played?
Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sidama Bunna and Mebrat Hayl