Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Sheger Ketema, 41% for a draw, 26% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Sheger Ketema (1,552) and Bahardar (1,549).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheger Ketema have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Suhul Shire(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sheger Ketema wins, 0 draws, 0 Bahardar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bahardar 0-2 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sheger Ketema 3-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 15% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
| Bahardar | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheger Ketema sit 5th in Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Bahardar sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sheger Ketema | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bahardar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Sheger Ketema, 41% for a draw, 26% for Bahardar.
- Where and when is Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar played?
- Sheger Ketema vs Bahardar is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 15% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 9, 2026Adama KenemavsFasil Ketema
- Dec 9, 2026Awassa KenemavsKedus Giorgis
- Dec 9, 2026MekelakeyavsHalaba Ketema
- Dec 9, 2026Sidama BunnavsMebrat Hayl
- Dec 9, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsHadiya Hosaena
- Dec 9, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsWelayta Dicha
- Dec 9, 2026Negelle ArsivsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Dec 9, 2026Gamo ChenchavsEthiopia Bunna