Gateshead vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hartlepool wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Gateshead (1,693) and Hartlepool (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gateshead vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gateshead wins, 0 draws, 4 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Hartlepool 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Gateshead 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Hartlepool 3-2 Gateshead | National League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Gateshead 4-3 Hartlepool | National League |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Gateshead 7-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hartlepool 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Gateshead on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 24th in National League (4 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Gateshead vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs Hartlepool played?
- Gateshead vs Hartlepool is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.