Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Gaziantep FK (1,887) and Rizespor (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rizespor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gaziantep FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rizespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Rizespor 2-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Rizespor 5-2 Gaziantep FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2025 | Rizespor 2-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 1-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Rizespor 3-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 11th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Rizespor sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor?
- The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.