Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Konya
The Footlab model makes Konyaspor the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Konyaspor (1,930) and Kocaelispor (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Konyaspor have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al-Dhafra(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Konyaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kocaelispor 1-2 Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Konyaspor 2-3 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Konyaspor score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Konyaspor sit 16th in Süper Lig (0 points from 1 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Konyaspor the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor played?
- Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.