Geita Gold vs Singida Black Stars: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Singida Black Stars. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Singida Black Stars?
Singida Black Stars starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Singida Black Stars have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Singida Black Stars score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Singida Black Stars | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Singida Black Stars sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Singida Black Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Singida Black Stars.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Singida Black Stars played?
- Geita Gold vs Singida Black Stars is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.