Azam vs Polisi Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Polisi Tanzania?
Azam is a heavy favourite: 1,888 Elo points against 1,553, a 335-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Azam vs Polisi Tanzania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Azam
4-3-3- 19G. Sillah
- 11Naldo
- 20H. Molia
- 23H. Mao
- 6F. Salum
- 4Donovan Stephane Makoma
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 2N. Idumba
- 12P. Msindo
- 13T. Abdulrafiu
- 28A. Manula
Polisi Tanzania
4-3-3- 26A. Jabiri
- 7H. Kyombo
- 11J. Kibaya
- 22F. Evance
- 12S. Antwi
- 28D. Uromi
- 33O. G. Masai
- 2I. Ame
- SS. Onditi
- 15K. Kunambi
- 48B. Kakolanya
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 02:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Polisi Tanzania have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Masr(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Azam wins, 1 draw, 2 Polisi Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania 1-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam 8-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 5, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Azam 0-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 2-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Polisi Tanzania vs Azam on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polisi Tanzania score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (17 points from 8 matches) and Polisi Tanzania sit 6th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Azam vs Polisi Tanzania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Polisi Tanzania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Azam vs Polisi Tanzania played?
- Azam vs Polisi Tanzania is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.