Namungo vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Kagera Sugar?
On Elo ratings, Namungo has 1,566 points and Kagera Sugar 1,492.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Namungo vs Kagera Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Namungo
4-3-3- 23H. Lukindo
- 11R. Chambo
- 21G. Matiko
- 12H. Swalehe
- 6G. Rogers
- 22N. Kapama
- 25J. Shemvuni
- 5F. Magingi
- 6S. Nsajigwa
- 50H. Msati
- 18A. Suleiman
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Namungo wins, 3 draws, 1 Kagera Sugar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2025 | Namungo 0-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Namungo 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Namungo 2-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Kagera Sugar on Jun 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 8 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 14th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Namungo vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Namungo vs Kagera Sugar is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.