Match

Simba vs Fountain Gate: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam

SimbaFountain Gate

The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 93%, against 6% for a draw and 1% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Simba vs Fountain Gate?

Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,486, a 511-point gap.

93%6%1%
Simba winDrawFountain Gate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Simba vs Fountain Gate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Simba

4-3-3
  1. 7L. Gueye
  2. 34E. Mpanzu
  3. 29Ibrahim Doumbia
  1. 35N. Maema
  2. 17C. Chama
  3. 18M. Abraham
  1. 23R. De Reuck
  2. 26N. Chilambo
  3. 20A. Oura
  4. 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
  1. 28H. Abel

Fountain Gate

4-3-3
  1. 22S. Said
  2. 20A. Athuman
  3. 27Hashimu Kindemile
  1. 9C. Obasi
  2. 60S. Mgunda
  3. 49J. Mwansasu
  1. 15D. Mukombozi
  2. 6O. Awara
  3. 29J. Shiga
  4. 19A. Mtambi
  1. 18I. Parapanda

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Fountain Gate have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Simba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Mashujaa(home)6-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 10, 2026Young Africans(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 16, 2026Azam(away)2-0Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 13, 2026Be Forward Wanderers(home)6-1CAF Champions League
Sep 6, 2026Be Forward Wanderers(away)1-0CAF Champions League
Fountain Gate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)1-2Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 13, 2026Kagera Sugar(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 31, 2026Young Africans(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 28, 2026Mbeya City(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 25, 2026Namungo(away)0-1Ligi kuu Bara

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Simba wins, 1 draw, 0 Fountain Gate wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Fountain Gate 0-3 SimbaLigi kuu Bara
Sep 25, 2025Simba 3-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Feb 6, 2025Fountain Gate 1-1 SimbaLigi kuu Bara
Aug 25, 2024Simba 4-0 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Mar 12, 2024Simba 3-1 Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara
Oct 8, 2023Fountain Gate 1-2 SimbaLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Simba on Apr 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Simba2.10.496/156/15
Fountain Gate0.71.525/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (21 points from 7 matches) and Fountain Gate sit 16th (4 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Simba770013321
16Fountain Gate71153114

A question about Simba vs Fountain Gate?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Simba vs Fountain Gate?
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 93%, against 6% for a draw and 1% for Fountain Gate.
Where and when is Simba vs Fountain Gate played?
Simba vs Fountain Gate is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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