Pamba Jiji vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Mashujaa?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Pamba Jiji (1,499) and Mashujaa (1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Mashujaa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | KMC(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pamba Jiji win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mashujaa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Mashujaa 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Pamba Jiji 2-2 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 12th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Mashujaa sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mashujaa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Mashujaa played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Mashujaa is played on January 24, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.